Selected outcome
Nehls, 3+ pts
wide spread 83–94%
Nehls, 3+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Nehls, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Nehls, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Nehls, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Nehls, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Nehls, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
Bid 6.7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Nehls, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Nehls, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.4¢
- Nehls, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$160 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Nehls, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 22nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 22nd District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.