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Texas's 28th District margin of victory

Open

Texas's 28th District

Selected outcome

Cuellar, 17+ pts

wide spread 22–33%

29%

Cuellar, 17+ pts · 29%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Cuellar, 11+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?

    54%

    Open · ~$8 24h · ~$586 vol

    wide spread 53–64%

    Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cuellar, 14+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$649 vol

    wide spread 36–48%

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cuellar, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?

    29%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$75 vol

    wide spread 22–33%

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cuellar, 2+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$755 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 93.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cuellar, 20+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?

    19%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol

    wide spread 9–21%

    Bid 9.4¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cuellar, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–13%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cuellar, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?

    88%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,306 vol

    Bid 84¢ · Ask 92¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cuellar, 8+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?

    72%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$855 vol

    Bid 69¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$8
Volume
~$4,271
Liquidity
—
Open int.
5,629 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 28th District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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