Texas's 28th District margin of victory

Open

Texas's 28th District

Selected outcome

Cuellar, 20+ pts

wide spread 9–21%

19%

Cuellar, 20+ pts · 19%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Cuellar, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$586 vol
wide spread 53–64%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢
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Cuellar, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$649 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
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Cuellar, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$75 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
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Cuellar, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$755 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 93.7¢
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Cuellar, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.4¢ · Ask 21¢
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Cuellar, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 13¢
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Cuellar, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,306 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 92¢
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Cuellar, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$855 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 75¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$8
Volume: ~$4,271
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 5,629 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 28th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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