Selected outcome
Taylor, 13+ pts
wide spread 1–12%
Taylor, 13+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Taylor, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$56 24h · ~$223 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 64¢
- Taylor, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$44 24h · ~$259 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- Taylor, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8.2¢ · Ask 20¢
- Taylor, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Taylor, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.4¢
- Taylor, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Taylor, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 1st District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.