Selected outcome
Taylor, 7+ pts
wide spread 20–32%
Taylor, 7+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Taylor, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$56 24h · ~$223 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 64¢
- Taylor, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$44 24h · ~$259 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- Taylor, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8.2¢ · Ask 20¢
- Taylor, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Taylor, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.4¢
- Taylor, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Taylor, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 1st District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.