Selected outcome
Luria, 20+ pts
4%
Luria, 20+ pts · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Luria, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$343 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Luria, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$355 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 31¢
- Luria, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 19¢
- Luria, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Luria, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$818 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 85¢
- Luria, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 7.5¢
- Luria, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$257 vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 65¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 2nd District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.