Selected outcome
Luria, 5+ pts
62%
Luria, 5+ pts · 62%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Luria, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$343 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Luria, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$355 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 31¢
- Luria, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 19¢
- Luria, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Luria, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$818 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 85¢
- Luria, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 7.5¢
- Luria, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$257 vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 65¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 2nd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.