Selected outcome
Cline, 12+ pts
wide spread 62–74%
Cline, 12+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Cline, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Cline, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Cline, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Cline, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Cline, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 18¢
- Cline, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–12%
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 12¢
- Cline, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Cline, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$590 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 96.7¢
- Cline, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,030 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 93.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 6th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.