Selected outcome
Cline, 6+ pts
90%
Cline, 6+ pts · 90%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Cline, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Cline, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Cline, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Cline, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Cline, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 18¢
- Cline, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–12%
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 12¢
- Cline, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Cline, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$590 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 96.7¢
- Cline, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,030 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 93.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 6th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.