Selected outcome
Warner, 13+ pts
wide spread 84–95%
Warner, 13+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Warner, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 21 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$180 24h · ~$869 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- Warner, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 21¢
- Warner, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.9¢ · Ask 15¢
- Warner, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 11 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$224 vol
Bid 90.3¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Warner, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- Warner, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 15 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$136 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Warner, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 17 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 79¢
- Warner, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 19 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$280 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 70¢
- Warner, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Warner, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 25 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Warner, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Warner, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 7 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.1¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Warner, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 9 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 98.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.