Virginia Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Warner, 9+ pts

95%

Warner, 9+ pts · 95%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Warner, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 21 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$180 24h · ~$869 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
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Warner, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 21¢
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Warner, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.9¢ · Ask 15¢
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Warner, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 11 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$224 vol
Bid 90.3¢ · Ask 98.8¢
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Warner, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
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Warner, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 15 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$136 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
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Warner, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 17 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 79¢
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Warner, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 19 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$280 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 70¢
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Warner, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
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Warner, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 25 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
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Warner, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
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Warner, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 7 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.1¢ · Ask 98.8¢
Open full market view →
Warner, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 9 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 98.8¢
Open full market view →

Event statistics

24h vol: ~$180
Volume: ~$1,579
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 1,625 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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