Selected outcome
Republicans, 14+ pts
22%
Republicans, 14+ pts · 22%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 14 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$208 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 23¢
- Republicans, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 2 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Republicans, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Republicans, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 8 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Republicans, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 11 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$596 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 30¢
- Republicans, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 17 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 16¢
- Republicans, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 20 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Republicans, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 23 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8.2¢
- Republicans, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 26 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 6.5¢
- Republicans, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 29 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 6.3¢
- Republicans, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 32 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6.2¢
- Republicans, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.2¢
- Republicans, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.1¢
- Republicans, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.1¢
- Republicans, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Vermont by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.