Vermont Governor margin of victory

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Vermont Governor

Selected outcome

Republicans, 38+ pts

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Republicans, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 14 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$208 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 23¢
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Republicans, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 2 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
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Republicans, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
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Republicans, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 8 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
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Republicans, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 11 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$596 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 30¢
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Republicans, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 17 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 16¢
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Republicans, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 20 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 9.9¢
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Republicans, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 23 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8.2¢
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Republicans, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 26 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 6.5¢
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Republicans, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 29 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 6.3¢
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Republicans, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 32 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6.2¢
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Republicans, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.2¢
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Republicans, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.1¢
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Republicans, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.1¢
Open full market view →
Republicans, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$9
Volume: ~$1,007
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 3,890 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Vermont by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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