Selected outcome
Perez, 16+ pts
wide spread 2–13%
11%
Perez, 16+ pts · 11%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Perez, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$81 24h · ~$233 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Perez, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$531 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Perez, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 25¢
- Perez, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 93¢
- Perez, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 13¢
- Perez, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.3¢
- Perez, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$304 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 3rd District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.