Selected outcome
Perez, 7+ pts
wide spread 50–62%
Perez, 7+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Perez, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$81 24h · ~$233 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Perez, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$531 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Perez, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 25¢
- Perez, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 93¢
- Perez, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 13¢
- Perez, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.3¢
- Perez, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$304 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 3rd District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.