Selected outcome
McKinney, 23+ pts
wide spread 3–14%
McKinney, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McKinney, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- McKinney, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- McKinney, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- McKinney, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–94%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 94.3¢
- McKinney, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- McKinney, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 14¢
- McKinney, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- McKinney, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- McKinney, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 4th District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.