Selected outcome
McKinney, 5+ pts
wide spread 75–86%
80%
McKinney, 5+ pts · 80%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McKinney, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- McKinney, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- McKinney, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- McKinney, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–94%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 94.3¢
- McKinney, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- McKinney, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 14¢
- McKinney, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- McKinney, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- McKinney, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.