Selected outcome
Steil, 11+ pts
wide spread 5–17%
Steil, 11+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Steil, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 17¢
- Steil, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Steil, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8.1¢
- Steil, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$273 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Steil, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$607 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Steil, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$109 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 1st District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.