Selected outcome
Steil, 2+ pts
wide spread 40–52%
Steil, 2+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Steil, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 17¢
- Steil, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Steil, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8.1¢
- Steil, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$273 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Steil, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$607 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Steil, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$109 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.