Selected outcome
Grothman, 23+ pts
wide spread 2–13%
Grothman, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Grothman, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 50–61%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 61¢
- Grothman, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$152 vol
wide spread 35–46%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 46¢
- Grothman, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- Grothman, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$978 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.7¢
- Grothman, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.7¢ · Ask 21¢
- Grothman, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Grothman, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 9.3¢
- Grothman, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$973 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 86¢
- Grothman, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 6th District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.