Selected outcome
Grothman, 8+ pts
wide spread 64–75%
72%
Grothman, 8+ pts · 72%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Grothman, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 50–61%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 61¢
- Grothman, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$152 vol
wide spread 35–46%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 46¢
- Grothman, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- Grothman, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$978 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.7¢
- Grothman, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.7¢ · Ask 21¢
- Grothman, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Grothman, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 9.3¢
- Grothman, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$973 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 86¢
- Grothman, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 6th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.