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Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?

Open

Before Jan 2027

Selected outcome

Lisa Murkowski

17%

Lisa Murkowski · 17%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$16
Volume
~$12k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
43k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Lisa Murkowski leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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