Selected outcome
Thomas Massie
6%
Thomas Massie · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lisa Murkowski
Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,653 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 19¢
- Thomas Massie
Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$428 vol
Bid 3.6¢ · Ask 7.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Thomas Massie leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.