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Which Senate races will be within 1 point?

Open

Nov 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Alaska

15%

Alaska · 15%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Kansas

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    17%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$106 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
  • North Carolina

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    5%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol

    last

    Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alaska

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$68 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • Florida (special)

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Iowa

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    17%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$93 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Maine

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    16%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Michigan

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    20%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$305 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Nebraska

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    11%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • New Hampshire

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ohio (special)

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$75 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • South Carolina

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Texas

    Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

    16%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$71 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$6
Volume
~$914
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,537 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

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