Selected outcome
Iowa
17%
Iowa · 17%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Kansas
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
17%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$106 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 21¢
- North Carolina
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
5%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- Alaska
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$68 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 17¢
- Florida (special)
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
- Iowa
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$93 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢
- Maine
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 19¢
- Michigan
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$305 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 25¢
- Nebraska
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 13¢
- New Hampshire
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢
- Ohio (special)
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$75 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 17¢
- South Carolina
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 10¢
- Texas
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$71 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.