Selected outcome
Abbott by 12+
4%
Abbott by 12+ · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 29, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Texas Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Abbott by 3-6
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
39%
Open · ~$145 24h · ~$492 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 42¢
- Abbott by 0-3
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
10%
Open · ~$139 24h · ~$567 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 14¢
- Abbott by 12+
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be at least 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
4%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$61 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
- Abbott by 6-9
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
32%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$1,550 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 34¢
- Paxton by 0-3
Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Paxton by 3+
Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- Abbott by 9-12
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 29, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is at least 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.