Selected outcome
Abbott by 3-6
39%
Abbott by 3-6 · 39%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 29, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Texas Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Abbott by 3-6
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
39%
Open · ~$145 24h · ~$492 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 42¢
- Abbott by 0-3
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
10%
Open · ~$139 24h · ~$567 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 14¢
- Abbott by 12+
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be at least 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
4%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$61 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
- Abbott by 6-9
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
32%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$1,550 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 34¢
- Paxton by 0-3
Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Paxton by 3+
Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- Abbott by 9-12
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 29, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.