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How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Open

Before 2030

Selected outcome

Above 10%

38%

Above 10% · 38%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 4, 2030 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$7,718
Liquidity
—
Open int.
7,847 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 4, 2030 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 10%, the market resolves to Yes.

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