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How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Open

Before 2030

Selected outcome

Above 5%

92%

Above 5% · 92%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 4, 2030 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$7,718
Liquidity
—
Open int.
7,847 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 4, 2030 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the U-3 unemployment rate from June 2025 to January 2030 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.

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