Selected outcome
Conservative minority + DUP support
3%
Conservative minority + DUP support · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2030 ET
- Resolution source
- Politico (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Conservative majority
Will Conservative majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Conservative minority
Will Conservative minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.4¢
- Conservative minority + DUP support
Will Conservative minority + DUP support form the next government in the United Kingdom?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4.6¢
- Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition
Will Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Conservative minority + Reform UK support
Will Conservative minority + Reform UK support form the next government in the United Kingdom?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.5¢
- Labour majority
Will Labour majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 17¢
- Labour minority
Will Labour minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 9.3¢
- Labour minority + Green support
Will Labour minority + Green support form the next government in the United Kingdom?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.2¢
- Labour minority + SNP support
Will Labour minority + SNP support form the next government in the United Kingdom?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 7.5¢
- Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition
Will Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 10¢
- Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support
Will Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support form the next government in the United Kingdom?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 9¢
- Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition
Will Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 9¢
- Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support
Will Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support form the next government in the United Kingdom?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 8.3¢
- Reform UK minority + Conservative support
Will Reform UK minority + Conservative support form the next government in the United Kingdom?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 10¢
- Reform UK and Conservative coalition
Will Reform UK and Conservative coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.3¢
- Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition
Will Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition form the next government in the United Kingdom?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5.1¢
- Reform UK minority + DUP support
Will Reform UK minority + DUP support form the next government in the United Kingdom?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5.5¢
- Reform UK majority
Will Reform UK majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Reform UK minority
Will Reform UK minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2030 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Conservative Party with the support of the Democratic Unionist Party exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.