Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Open

Before 2027

Selected outcome

India

3%

India · 3%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2027 ET
Resolution source: IMF (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

United Kingdom
Which countries will have recessions?
14%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 13.3¢ · Ask 15.1¢
Open full market view →
India
Which countries will have recessions?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,170 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 4.9¢
Open full market view →
Japan
Which countries will have recessions?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,462 vol
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 6.6¢
Open full market view →
China
Which countries will have recessions?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$410 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5.8¢
Open full market view →

Event statistics

24h vol: ~$10
Volume: ~$15k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 34k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2027 ET
Resolution source: IMF (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If India has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Economy