Selected outcome
Bergman, 1+ pts
88%
Bergman, 1+ pts · 88%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Bergman, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 92.3¢
- Bergman, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,117 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 61¢
- Bergman, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,970 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 48¢
- Bergman, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,361 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- Bergman, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$685 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Bergman, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$452 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Bergman, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$349 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 13¢
- Bergman, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$119 vol
last
Ask 9.4¢
- Bergman, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,436 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Bergman, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,486 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.