Selected outcome
Bergman, 22+ pts
wide spread 7–19%
9%
Bergman, 22+ pts · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Bergman, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 92.3¢
- Bergman, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,117 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 61¢
- Bergman, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,970 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 48¢
- Bergman, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,361 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- Bergman, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$685 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Bergman, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$452 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Bergman, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$349 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 13¢
- Bergman, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$119 vol
last
Ask 9.4¢
- Bergman, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,436 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Bergman, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,486 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 1st District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.