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Michigan's 1st District margin of victory

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Michigan's 1st District

Selected outcome

Bergman, 25+ pts

wide spread 1–13%

4%

Bergman, 25+ pts · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Bergman, 1+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

    88%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 84¢ · Ask 92.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 10 percentage points?

    56%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,117 vol

    Bid 51¢ · Ask 61¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?

    43%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,970 vol

    Bid 38¢ · Ask 48¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 16+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?

    27%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,361 vol

    wide spread 26–37%

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?

    17%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$685 vol

    wide spread 15–27%

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 22+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 22 percentage points?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$452 vol

    wide spread 7–19%

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 25 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$349 vol

    wide spread 1–13%

    Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 28+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 28 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$119 vol

    last

    Ask 9.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 4+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?

    73%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,436 vol

    wide spread 72–84%

    Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bergman, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?

    64%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,486 vol

    wide spread 63–74%

    Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$12k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,542 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 1st District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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